US military engagement in Iran and munition depletion weakens deterrence in Indo-Pacific, emboldening China on Taiwan

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The US military's engagement in the Iran war and the resulting depletion of critical munitions are weakening its deterrence capabilities in the Indo-Pacific. This situation, coupled with asset redeployments, could embolden China to act on its ambitions regarding Taiwan, especially given the 2027 deadline set by Xi Jinping for the PLA to be ready for a Taiwan invasion.