Published Sep 16, 2026, 7:30 AM ET · Updated 2 months ago · 1 source

Russia's 'Grey Zone' Tactics Against NATO Will Escalate to Major Provocation

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Original Report

Russia is employing 'grey zone' warfare tactics, such as the Danish helicopter flare incident and the Lithuanian drone shootdown, to bully and subvert NATO allies below the Article 5 threshold, aiming to scare European populations and governments into reducing aid to Ukraine. This strategy, partly driven by Russia's lack of progress in Ukraine, is unsustainable and will eventually escalate into a major provocation, possibly a mass casualty event, forcing NATO to respond decisively.