Published Sep 14, 2026, 11:09 AM ET · Updated 2 months ago · 1 source
Rapid increase in 10-2 yield curve spread signals impending recession
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Original Report
A rapid skyrocket in the 10-2 yield curve spread, which is the difference between the two-year and ten-year yield, has consistently occurred before recessions in 1990, 2002, 2007, and 2020, indicating that such an increase is a reliable predictor of impending economic downturns.