Published Sep 12, 2026, 9:00 PM ET · Updated 2 months ago · 1 source

Bitcoin reaching $400,000 by 2030 is highly improbable based on IBIT options market

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Original Report

The Coinbase CEO's prediction of Bitcoin reaching $400,000 by 2030 is highly improbable, as the IBIT options market, specifically the January 2028 options, indicates only a 5% probability of IBIT reaching $140, which corresponds to Bitcoin at $225,000. This suggests a significantly lower likelihood for the even higher $400,000 target.