Published Sep 5, 2026, 11:00 AM ET · Updated 2 months ago · 1 source

CME Fed Watch tool indicates 50% chance of October rate hike

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Original Report

The CME Fed Watch tool, which has been a reliable indicator since 2008, currently implies a 50% probability of a 25 basis point interest rate increase at the upcoming October Fed meeting, from the current target rate of 3.50% to 3.75%. This potential rate hike could influence gold and silver prices and provides further justification for discussions around raising rates.