Published Jul 29, 2026, 9:38 PM ET · Updated 3 months ago · 1 source

With the United States resuming strikes against Iran, chances of Iranian military action against one or more of the Gulf States over the coming week have significantly risen on Polymarket, as traders predict there is a 26% chance that Iran launches strikes against one of the countries on July 31.

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Original Report

With the United States resuming strikes against Iran, chances of Iranian military action against one or more of the Gulf States over the coming week have significantly risen on Polymarket, as traders predict there is a 26% chance that Iran launches strikes against one of the countries on July 31.