Published Jul 29, 2026, 12:52 PM ET · Updated 3 months ago · 1 source
A $600,000 Kalshi Trade is Poised for a Big Payoff If Fed Hikes
bloomberg
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Original Report
The US rates market is signaling a higher chance of a Federal Reserve hike than prediction markets, creating an arbitrage opportunity which at least one institutional investor appears to be trying to exploit.