Published Jul 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET · Updated 4 months ago · 1 source

Chances of a new ceasefire agreement soon between Iran and the United States appear to be on the rise once again, following reports that President Trump had decided to halt the recent strike campaign against Southern Iran, with traders on Polymarket placing chances of a ceasefire by August 31, 2026 at 75%.

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Original Report

Chances of a new ceasefire agreement soon between Iran and the United States appear to be on the rise once again, following reports that President Trump had decided to halt the recent strike campaign against Southern Iran, with traders on Polymarket placing chances of a ceasefire by August 31, 2026 at 75%.