Published Jul 22, 2026, 4:21 PM ET · Updated 4 months ago · 1 source
LATEST: A new working draft of the CLARITY Act is circulating in the Senate, but Polymarket traders are growing less confident it will become law this year. The latest draft includes revised ethics language for senior government officials, yet the market now assigns just a 40% chance the bill is signed into law in 2026, down from nearly 50% earlier this week.
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Original Report
LATEST: A new working draft of the CLARITY Act is circulating in the Senate, but Polymarket traders are growing less confident it will become law this year. The latest draft includes revised ethics language for senior government officials, yet the market now assigns just a 40% chance the bill is signed into law in 2026, down from nearly 50% earlier this week.