Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$76.15K Liq3 MarketsSource
Iran CeasefireGeopoliticsIranIsraelMiddle EastPoliticsU.S. x IranTrump PresidencyUS-IranWorld
$7.88M Total VolJan 01, 2027 UTC

Markets

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
December 31
 
2%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

Created Jan 12, 2026 UTC