Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

Will Israel strike Gaza on...?

$0 Liq31 MarketsSource
Daily StrikesGazaGeopoliticshamasIsraelMiddle EastpalestinePoliticsWorld
$123.51K Total VolMar 31, 2026 UTC

Markets

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 10, 2026?
March 10
 
100%
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 11, 2026?
March 11
 
100%
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 12, 2026?
March 12
 
100%
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 13, 2026?
March 13
 
100%
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 14, 2026?
March 14
 
100%
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 15, 2026?
March 15
 
100%
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 16, 2026?
March 16
 
100%
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 17, 2026?
March 17
 
100%
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 24, 2026?
March 24
 
100%
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 28, 2026?
March 28
 
100%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date Israel Standard Time (IST). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory. A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

Created Feb 25, 2026 UTC