Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

$359.47K Liq21 MarketsSource
Cabinet ShakeupPoliticsTrump
$2.62M Total VolJan 01, 2027 UTC

Markets

📊
Markwayne Mullin
 
28%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
 
5%
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Pete Hegseth
 
17%
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Marco Rubio
 
7%
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Scott Bessent
 
9%
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Lee Zeldin
 
7%
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Howard Lutnick
 
44%
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Kash Patel
 
14%
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Stephen Miller
 
4%
Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Dan Scavino
 
6%
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
David Sacks
 
20%
Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Russell Vought
 
8%
Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Tom Homan
 
8%
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?
John Ratcliffe
 
10%
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Kristi Noem
 
21%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Created Nov 05, 2025 UTC