Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

$15.88K Liq9 MarketsSource
ElectionsGlobal ElectionsPoliticsSwedenSweden ElectionsSweden Parliamentary ElectionsWorld Elections
$463.13K Total VolSep 14, 2026 UTC

Markets

Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
 
45%
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?
Sweden Democrats (SD)
 
5%
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?
Moderate Party (M)
 
82%
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?
Centre Party (C)
 
84%
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?
Left Party (V)
 
14%
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?
Christian Democrats (KD)
 
79%
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?
Green Party (MP)
 
45%
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government?
Liberals (L)
 
84%
Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) be in the next Swedish government?
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
 
3%

Rules

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.

Created Aug 19, 2026 UTC