Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

$3.57K Liq15 MarketsSource
AIAI RegulationAI SafetyBig TechTech
$7.81K Total VolJan 01, 2027 UTC

Markets

OpenAI announces a full training pause in 2026?
OpenAI
 
10%
Anthropic announces a full training pause in 2026?
Anthropic
 
8%
Google announces a full training pause in 2026?
Google
 
6%
SpaceXAI announces a full training pause in 2026?
SpaceXAI
 
6%
Meta announces a full training pause in 2026?
Meta
 
27%
Microsoft announces a full training pause in 2026?
Microsoft
 
24%
Amazon announces a full training pause in 2026?
Amazon
 
26%
Mistral announces a full training pause in 2026?
Mistral
 
25%
DeepSeek announces a full training pause in 2026?
DeepSeek
 
26%
Alibaba announces a full training pause in 2026?
Alibaba
 
26%
Z.ai announces a full training pause in 2026?
Z.ai
 
24%
Moonshot announces a full training pause in 2026?
Moonshot
 
26%
Baidu announces a full training pause in 2026?
Baidu
 
24%
ByteDance announces a full training pause in 2026?
ByteDance
 
26%
Meituan announces a full training pause in 2026?
Meituan
 
26%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause all training of AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full training pause means the company halts all training for its AI models, including pre-training, fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning, across the company. Pauses limited to particular models, training methods, training environments, or teams will not qualify. A full pause of any stated duration qualifies. Continued deployment or serving of existing models does not prevent a pause from qualifying. A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that all training has been or will be paused. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. Statements that describe slowing development, pausing some training, or considering a pause will not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created Sep 17, 2026 UTC