Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

$19.89K Liq2 MarketsSource
Big TechElon MusklaunchSpacespace explorationSpaceXstarshipTech
$96.6K Total VolJan 01, 2028 UTC

Markets

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
December 31, 2026
 
4%
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
December 31, 2027
 
70%

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Created Jun 11, 2026 UTC