Q: How does "Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner" resolve?

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Question 1

What is the probability of "Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner"?

Accepted Answer

Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera: 74%; Alfonso Sánchez García: 8%; Floria María Hernández Hernández: 3%; Miriam Martínez Sánchez: 2%; Josefina Rodríguez Zamora: 2%; Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca: 2%; Adriana Dávila Fernández: 1%; Irma Yordana Garay Loredo: <1%; Danae Figueroa: <1%; Concepción Sánchez González: <1%

Question 2

How does "Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner" resolve?

Accepted Answer

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Tlaxcala on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Tlaxcala gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Tlaxcala and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Tlaxcala and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner

Markets

Rules