Q: How does "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" resolve?

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Question 1

What is the probability of "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner"?

Accepted Answer

Imelda Castro Castro: 73%; Mario Zamora Gastélum: 23%; Paloma Sánchez Ramos: 15%; María Teresa Guerra Ochoa: 1%; María Fernanda Rivera: 1%; Tomás de Jesús López Bajo: <1%; Eduardo Ortiz Hernández: <1%; Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez: <1%; Lucila Ayala de Moreschi: <1%; Graciela Domínguez Nava: <1%

Question 2

How does "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" resolve?

Accepted Answer

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Sinaloa Governor Election Winner

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