Q: How does "Paraguay Presidential Election Winner" resolve?

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Paraguayan Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by April 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Paraguay government sources, including the Tribunal Superior de Justicia Electoral (https://www.tsje.gov.py/).

Question 1

What is the probability of "Paraguay Presidential Election Winner"?

Accepted Answer

Ricardo Estigarribia: 20%; Miguel Prieto: 14%; Basilio Núñez: 12%; Raúl Latorre: 12%; Pedro Alliana: 11%; Arnoldo Wiens: 10%; Eduardo Nakayama: 4%; Juan Carlos Baruja: <1%; Alberto Martínez Simón: <1%; Kattya González: <1%

Question 2

How does "Paraguay Presidential Election Winner" resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Paraguayan Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by April 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Paraguay government sources, including the Tribunal Superior de Justicia Electoral (https://www.tsje.gov.py/).

Paraguay Presidential Election Winner

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