Q: How does "Next President of Germany?" resolve?

Germany is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on January 30, 2027. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Germany by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Germany. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Question 1

What is the probability of "Next President of Germany?"?

Accepted Answer

Ilse Aigner: 97%; Karin Prien: 3%; Julia Klöckner: 1%; Udo Di Fabio: <1%; Boris Rhein: <1%; Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer: <1%; Angela Merkel: <1%

Question 2

How does "Next President of Germany?" resolve?

Accepted Answer

Germany is currently scheduled to indirectly elect a new president on January 30, 2027.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Germany by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Germany. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Next President of Germany?

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