Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...?

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...?

$13.39K Liq32 MarketsSource
AIAI ReleasesGrokTechxAI
$28.29K Total VolDec 01, 2026 UTC

Markets

Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 14, 2026?
November 14
 
22%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 15, 2026?
November 15
 
3%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 16, 2026?
November 16
 
5%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 17, 2026?
November 17
 
44%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 18, 2026?
November 18
 
42%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 19, 2026?
November 19
 
26%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 20, 2026?
November 20
 
16%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 21, 2026?
November 21
 
3%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 22, 2026?
November 22
 
2%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 23, 2026?
November 23
 
5%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 24, 2026?
November 24
 
55%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 25, 2026?
November 25
 
1%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 26, 2026?
November 26
 
6%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 27, 2026?
November 27
 
9%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 28, 2026?
November 28
 
1%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 29, 2026?
November 29
 
1%
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 30, 2026?
November 30
 
4%
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?
No release by November 30
 
65%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.8+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.8 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or Grok 4.7 would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.8 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.8, such as Grok 4.7 (released September 21, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Created Oct 28, 2026 UTC