Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

$49.51K Liq10 MarketsSource
AIAI ReleasesAnthropicClaudeRecurringSonnetTech
$76.58K Total VolJan 01, 2027 UTC

Markets

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August 31
Ended
 
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October 31
Ended
 
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December 31
Ended
 
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September 30
Ended
 
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Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 23, 2026?
September 23
Ended
 
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Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 27, 2026?
September 27
Ended
 
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Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 25, 2026?
September 25
Ended
 
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Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 15, 2026?
October 15
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Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026?
September 29
Ended
 
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Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?
September 28
Ended
 
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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Created Jul 01, 2026 UTC