Question 1

What is the probability of "New pandemic before 2028?"?

Accepted Answer

New pandemic before 2028?: 15%

Question 2

How does "New pandemic before 2028?" resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between market creation and December 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

Created Aug 13, 2026 UTC

The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

New pandemic before 2028?

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