Meta's Watermelon released on...?

Meta's Watermelon released on...?

$14.72K Liq32 MarketsSource
AIAI ReleasesMetaTechWatermelon
$85.82K Total VolOct 31, 2026 UTC

Markets

Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on or prior to October 1, 2026?
On or prior to October 1
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 2, 2026?
October 2
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 3, 2026?
October 3
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 4, 2026?
October 4
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 5, 2026?
October 5
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 6, 2026?
October 6
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 7, 2026?
October 7
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 8, 2026?
October 8
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 9, 2026?
October 9
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 10, 2026?
October 10
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 11, 2026?
October 11
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 12, 2026?
October 12
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 13, 2026?
October 13
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 14, 2026?
October 14
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 15, 2026?
October 15
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 16, 2026?
October 16
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 17, 2026?
October 17
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 18, 2026?
October 18
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 19, 2026?
October 19
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 20, 2026?
October 20
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 21, 2026?
October 21
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 22, 2026?
October 22
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 23, 2026?
October 23
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 24, 2026?
October 24
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 25, 2026?
October 25
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 26, 2026?
October 26
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 27, 2026?
October 27
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 28, 2026?
October 28
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 29, 2026?
October 29
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 30, 2026?
October 30
Ended
 
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Will Meta's Watermelon model be released on October 31, 2026?
October 31
Ended
 
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Will there be no Meta Watermelon model release by October 31, 2026?
No release by October 31
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Rules

On September 2, 2026, alongside the launch of Muse Spark 1.3, Meta announced a roadmap "including bigger models" (https://research.meta.ai/blog/introducing-muse-spark-1-3). Credible reporting has identified Meta's next-generation frontier model by the internal codename "Watermelon." This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Meta's "Watermelon" model, or a model identified as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Watermelon" or be identified, by Meta or by a consensus of credible reporting, as the model internally codenamed "Watermelon," regardless of the name under which it is ultimately released. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Created Sep 28, 2026 UTC