Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

$113.89K Liq19 MarketsSource
GeopoliticsIranIsraelIsrael x IranPoliticsRewards 50, 4.5, 20
$31.17M Total VolOct 01, 2026 UTC

Markets

Israel closes its airspace by May 8?
May 8
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
May 31
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
June 30
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by May 24?
May 24
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
June 15
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
June 8
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
June 9
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
June 10
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by June 11?
June 11
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by June 12?
June 12
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by June 13?
June 13
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
June 14
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
July 15
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
July 31
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by July 7?
July 7
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
August 31
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by July 24?
July 24
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
August 15
Ended
 
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Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
September 30
Ended
 
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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created May 04, 2026 UTC