How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?

How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026?

$10.13K Liq9 MarketsSource
Big TechBusinessElon MuskKPIsRecurringTechTesla
$24.29K Total VolMar 01, 2027 UTC

Markets

Will Tesla deliver less than 400000 vehicles in Q4 2026
<400k
 
5%
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2026
400k to 425k
 
31%
Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q4 2026
425k to 450k
 
30%
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q4 2026
450k to 475k
 
26%
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q4 2026
475k to 500k
 
28%
Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q4 2026
500k to 525k
 
16%
Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q4 2026
525k to 550k
 
4%
Will Tesla deliver between 550000 and 575000 vehicles in Q4 2026
550k to 575k
 
32%
Will Tesla deliver 575000 or more vehicles in Q4 2026
575k+
 
5%

Rules

This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q4 2026. If Tesla does not publish Q4 2026 delivery figures by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.

Created Oct 21, 2026 UTC