Q: What is the probability of "How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?"?

<13: 99%; 13: 7%; 15: 2%; 14: 2%; 16+: 1%

Q: How does "How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?" resolve?

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches. In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until December 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by December 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.

Question 1

What is the probability of "How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

<13: 99%; 13: 7%; 15: 2%; 14: 2%; 16+: 1%

Question 2

How does "How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?" resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until December 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by December 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.

How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?

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