Q: How does "How many SpaceX launches in 2026?" resolve?

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Question 1

What is the probability of "How many SpaceX launches in 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

140-159: 69%; 120-139: 38%; 180-199: 7%; 200 or more: 2%; 160-179: <1%

Question 2

How does "How many SpaceX launches in 2026?" resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

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