Q: What is the probability of "How many jobs added in November?"?

150k+: 23%; <25k: 21%; 100k to 125k: 17%; 50k to 75k: 17%; 25k to 50k: 15%; 75k to 100k: 15%; 125k to 150k: 11%

Q: How does "How many jobs added in November?" resolve?

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for November 2026, scheduled to be released on December 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Question 1

What is the probability of "How many jobs added in November?"?

Accepted Answer

150k+: 23%; <25k: 21%; 100k to 125k: 17%; 50k to 75k: 17%; 25k to 50k: 15%; 75k to 100k: 15%; 125k to 150k: 11%

Question 2

How does "How many jobs added in November?" resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for November 2026, scheduled to be released on December 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

How many jobs added in November?

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