Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

$0 Liq30 MarketsSource
GeopoliticsHezbollahIranIran Offensive StrikesIsraelIsrael x IranLebanonMiddle EastMilitary StrikesstrikeU.S. x Iran
$445.44K Total VolApr 30, 2026 UTC

Markets

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 12, 2026?
April 12
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 13, 2026?
April 13
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 14, 2026?
April 14
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 15, 2026?
April 15
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 16, 2026?
April 16
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 17, 2026?
April 17
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 18, 2026?
April 18
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 19, 2026?
April 19
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 20, 2026?
April 20
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 21, 2026?
April 21
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 22, 2026?
April 22
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 23, 2026?
April 23
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 24, 2026?
April 24
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 25, 2026?
April 25
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 26, 2026?
April 26
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 27, 2026?
April 27
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 28, 2026?
April 28
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 29, 2026?
April 29
 
100%
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 30, 2026?
April 30
 
100%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hezbollah initiates a drone, missile, or air strike that impacts Israeli ground territory on the specified date, Israel Standard Time (UTC+2). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Hezbollah forces that physically impact land under Israeli control. Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

Created Mar 24, 2026 UTC