Q: How does "Gambia Presidential Election Winner" resolve?

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).

Question 1

What is the probability of "Gambia Presidential Election Winner"?

Accepted Answer

Adama Barrow: 79%; Ousainou Darboe: 18%; Talib Ahmed Bensouda: 1%; Essa Faal: <1%; Bakary K. Badjie: <1%; Mohamed Al Amin Bah: <1%; Mama Kandeh: <1%

Question 2

How does "Gambia Presidential Election Winner" resolve?

Accepted Answer

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).

Gambia Presidential Election Winner

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