Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

$169.67K Liq9 MarketsSource
CPI ReleaseEconomic PolicyEconomyFedFed RatesfomcJerome PowellKevin WarshParlays
$813.76K Total VolOct 28, 2026 UTC

Markets

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Cut–Pause–Pause
Ended
 
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Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Cut–Pause–Cut
Ended
 
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Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Cut–Cut–Pause
Ended
 
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Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Cut–Cut–Cut
Ended
 
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Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Pause–Pause–Pause
Ended
 
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Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Pause–Pause–Cut
Ended
 
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Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Pause–Cut–Pause
Ended
 
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Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Pause–Cut–Cut
Ended
 
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Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Other
Ended
 
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Rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Created Jun 17, 2026 UTC