Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

$14.7K Liq9 MarketsSource
AIAI BenchmarksBig TechgoogleRecurringTech
$239.26K Total VolJan 01, 2027 UTC

Markets

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
↑ 1550
 
66%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
↑ 1600
 
8%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
↑ 1650
 
5%
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
↑ 1700
 
4%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Created Jan 02, 2026 UTC