Q: How does "California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner" resolve?

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Question 1

What is the probability of "California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner"?

Accepted Answer

Fiona Ma: 100%; Rakesh Christian: <1%; Sean Collinson: <1%; Ebie Lynch: <1%; Oliver Ma: <1%; Josh Fryday: <1%; Janelle Kellman: <1%; David Collenberg: <1%; David Fennell: <1%; Jeyson Lopez: <1%

Question 2

How does "California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner" resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California lieutenant gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

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