August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)

August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC) (HIGHER STRIKES)

$0 Liq6 MarketsSource
Global TempScienceWeather
$20.86K Total VolSep 01, 2026 UTC

Markets

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.30ºC in August 2026?
<1.30ºC
Ended
 
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Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.33ºC in August 2026?
1.30–1.33ºC
Ended
 
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Will global temperature increase by between 1.34ºC and 1.37ºC in August 2026?
1.34–1.37ºC
Ended
 
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Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026?
1.38–1.41ºC
Ended
 
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Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026?
1.42–1.45ºC
Ended
 
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Will global temperature increase by more than 1.45ºC in August 2026?
>1.45ºC
Ended
 
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Rules

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

Created Aug 14, 2026 UTC