August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

August 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$0 Liq6 MarketsSource
Global TempScienceWeather
$15.9K Total VolSep 01, 2026 UTC

Markets

Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in August 2026?
<1.10ºC
Ended
 
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Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in August 2026?
1.10–1.14ºC
Ended
 
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Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in August 2026?
1.15–1.19ºC
Ended
 
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Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in August 2026?
1.20–1.24ºC
Ended
 
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Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in August 2026?
1.25–1.29ºC
Ended
 
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Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in August 2026?
>1.29ºC
Ended
 
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Rules

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for August 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for August 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Aug" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for August 2026 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

Created Jul 28, 2026 UTC