Q: How does "Anthropic IPO Date" resolve?

This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that Anthropic launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). An IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. If no IPO occurs by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by November 30, 2026". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Question 1

What is the probability of "Anthropic IPO Date"?

Accepted Answer

November 19: 94%; No IPO by November 30, 2026: 3%; November 20: 2%; November 23: 1%; November 18: <1%; November 24: <1%; November 30: <1%; November 25: <1%; November 17: <1%; November 16: <1%

Question 2

How does "Anthropic IPO Date" resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that Anthropic launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

An IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange.

If no IPO occurs by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by November 30, 2026".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Anthropic IPO Date

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