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INFERY
StarkWare Reduces Quantum-Safe Bitcoin Transaction Cost to $66
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StarkWare Reduces Quantum-Safe Bitcoin Transaction Cost to $66

A weeklong optimization challenge led by StarkWare has significantly lowered the computational expense of generating quantum-safe transaction proofs for the Bitcoin network. Participants utilized AI tools to improve efficiency, cutting the estimated cost by approximately 79% compared to previous benchmarks. While this progress makes quantum-resistant protocols more economically viable, researchers note that the solution has yet to be fully demonstrated in a live mined transaction.

CoinDesk, Cointelegraph, Watcher Guru, CryptoSlate public reporting

Price × Evidence /Market Movement
Price & Evidence Timeline
Analysis /Evidence Base
Crypto for Advisors:The hidden costs of holding your own bitcoinCoinDesk
Fact confidence: medium
Bitcoin’s ‘last resort’ quantum-safe solution just got 79% cheaper: StarkWareCointelegraph
Fact confidence: medium
Bitcoin Gets Its First Quantum Defensive Measure: Will Price Rise?Watcher Guru
Fact confidence: medium
Bitcoin may go quantum-safe while Lightning privacy stays exposedCryptoSlate
Fact confidence: medium
INFERY / RESEARCH VERDICT
Rating

Watch

Fairly pricedMedium confidence

Despite a BUY_NO lean at a Yes estimate below the quoted Yes price, the action is WATCH, so no new entry is recommended. The cited news concerns quantum-resistant measures layered alongside, not replacing, Bitcoin's SHA-256 hashing under the resolution rules.

“Yes”Fair price range94–100¢
  • F1, dated September 22, 2026, discusses Bitcoin possibly going quantum-safe while Lightning privacy remains exposed, which concerns added privacy or post-quantum defenses rather than replacing SHA-256, and therefore does not by itself establish that Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by the stated deadline; it only supports the view that no replacement has been shown to occur.
  • F2, dated September 23, 2026, describes PQLN, a post-quantum defense for the Lightning Network that the article says does not change Bitcoin's code and runs alongside existing nodes, so it does not establish a SHA-256 replacement and instead limits the case for Yes.
CURRENT MARKET

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Current price 1.7¢

⚠Risk: Credible reporting or Bitcoin protocol changes showing SHA-256 is being retired or replaced before the deadline would undercut the BUY_NO lean and warrant reassessing the WATCH stance.
Next watch: Monitor the official market settlement at the stated deadline.

Research verdict is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.